Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 2.135560e-05 0.000026 0.000030 0.000036 0.000042 0.000049 0.000057
2025-09-28 1.566318e-05 0.000021 0.000027 0.000035 0.000044 0.000054 0.000067
2025-10-05 1.267034e-05 0.000019 0.000026 0.000035 0.000047 0.000061 0.000078
2025-10-12 1.006989e-05 0.000016 0.000024 0.000035 0.000048 0.000065 0.000087
2025-10-19 8.311138e-06 0.000014 0.000023 0.000035 0.000050 0.000070 0.000096
2025-10-26 7.536069e-06 0.000014 0.000023 0.000036 0.000055 0.000078 0.000109
2025-11-02 6.379070e-06 0.000013 0.000022 0.000037 0.000057 0.000082 0.000118
2025-11-09 4.948064e-06 0.000011 0.000020 0.000035 0.000056 0.000083 0.000122
2025-11-16 3.938629e-06 0.000009 0.000019 0.000034 0.000055 0.000085 0.000127
2025-11-23 3.297089e-06 0.000009 0.000018 0.000033 0.000057 0.000089 0.000135
2025-11-30 2.737144e-06 0.000008 0.000017 0.000033 0.000058 0.000092 0.000142
2025-12-07 2.137768e-06 0.000007 0.000016 0.000032 0.000057 0.000093 0.000146
2025-12-14 1.460660e-06 0.000006 0.000014 0.000030 0.000057 0.000096 0.000154
2025-12-21 9.924079e-07 0.000005 0.000013 0.000029 0.000057 0.000099 0.000162
2025-12-28 7.509698e-07 0.000004 0.000012 0.000030 0.000060 0.000105 0.000175
2026-01-04 5.124890e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000029 0.000060 0.000109 0.000186
2026-01-11 3.619482e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000029 0.000062 0.000115 0.000198
2026-01-18 3.083724e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000031 0.000067 0.000125 0.000217
2026-01-25 2.154034e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000031 0.000069 0.000130 0.000230
2026-02-01 1.134758e-07 0.000002 0.000010 0.000029 0.000068 0.000131 0.000235
2026-02-08 5.901070e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000028 0.000067 0.000133 0.000242
2026-02-15 3.314611e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000028 0.000069 0.000138 0.000254
2026-02-22 1.645372e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000028 0.000070 0.000142 0.000265